The remains of a rocket as seen after recent shelling in Martuni, Nagorno-Karabakh, on October 14.  Photo: REUTERS/Stringer

Nagorno Karabakh, the small Thirty Years’ War in the Caucasus

Commentary: The conflict has ancient and deep roots but has many geostrategic implications that could cause extra-regional tensions which are potentially very dangerous. The situation in the South Caucasus remains in the hands of Russia and Turkey

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The future of strategic intelligence

Commentary: Intelligence is increasingly operating in sectors that we would have previously thought to be completely alien to intelligence services.  Moreover, we are currently witnessing a particular mix of strategic intelligence, geopolitics and financial analysis

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Evolutions of strategic intelligence

Commentary:  At least for the time being, strategic intelligence is likely to be overshadowed by technological development. We need to see how and to what extent the artificial intelligence subsets, cloud computing, machine learning, problem solving and robotics are really useful for intelligence operations  

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The 17+1 Framework between China and Europe

Commentary: The Chinese courtship of the Mediterranean and Eastern EU is based on two facts: the slow U.S. disengagement from the NATO EU pillar, regardless of its future president, and China's awareness that it has to deal with an EU which is now a "paper tiger"

The Abraham Accord signing ceremony at the White House on September 15. Photo: US State Department

The new relationship between Israel and Bahrain

Commentary: The Sunni world knows it can never do without the West to seriously oppose Iran and its proxies. It also needs the U.S. and the EU technologies to make the "energy transition" from oil and gas to renewables. Finally, it needs weapons and technologies, but probably also direct military aid from the United States and NATO - and, in the future, also from the Jewish State.

The Libyan 50 dinar banknote. Photo: Bigstock

Economy in Libya

Commentary: All the military groups operating in Libya, in the East and in the West, are linked to the war economy and inextricably tied to the parallel para- or totally illegal economy. The economic crisis, connected with the non-existence of a strong and credible central state, perpetuates the positive incentives for all those who take advantage of the state dysfunctions
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